Macroeconomics

‭3.‬ ‭Speculative‬ ‭Motive:‬ ‭People‬ ‭hold‬ ‭money‬ ‭when‬ ‭the‬ ‭returns‬ ‭on‬‭fnancial‬‭assets,‬‭such‬‭as‬‭bonds,‬‭are‬‭too‬‭low.‬ ‭They‬ ‭would‬ ‭rather‬ ‭buy‬ ‭fnancial‬ ‭assets‬ ‭when‬ ‭their‬ ‭returns‬ ‭increase,‬‭so‬‭they‬‭hold‬‭money‬‭now‬‭with‬‭the‬‭aim‬ ‭of‬‭making‬‭future‬‭gains‬‭from‬‭buying‬‭fnancial‬‭assets.‬ ‭For‬ ‭instance,‬‭people‬‭prefer‬‭to‬‭hold‬‭money‬‭when‬‭bond‬‭prices‬ ‭are‬‭too‬‭high‬‭and‬‭expected‬‭to‬‭fall‬‭later.‬‭In‬‭this‬‭case,‬‭they‬ ‭would‬‭not‬‭forgo‬‭much‬‭interest‬‭and‬‭would‬‭not‬‭really‬‭make‬ ‭capital‬ ‭loss.‬ ‭The‬ ‭speculative‬ ‭demand‬ ‭for‬ ‭money‬‭is‬‭low‬ ‭when the price of bonds is low and the interest rate is high.‬ ‭G. Money Market‬

‭Just‬ ‭as‬ ‭we've‬ ‭examined‬ ‭the‬ ‭dynamics‬ ‭of‬ ‭demand‬ ‭and‬ ‭supply‬ ‭of‬ ‭output‬ ‭at‬ ‭both‬ ‭micro‬ ‭and‬ ‭macroeconomic‬‭levels‬‭(e.g.,‬‭market‬‭demand‬‭and‬‭supply‬‭vs.‬‭aggregate‬‭demand‬‭and‬‭supply),‬‭money‬‭also‬ ‭has‬ ‭its‬ ‭own‬ ‭market,‬ ‭where‬ ‭the‬ ‭interaction‬ ‭of‬ ‭its‬ ‭demand‬ ‭and‬‭supply‬‭establishes‬‭the‬‭equilibrium‬‭price‬ ‭and quantity.‬

‭We’ve‬ ‭seen‬ ‭in‬ ‭the‬ ‭previous‬ ‭section‬ ‭what‬ ‭determines‬ ‭money‬ ‭demand.‬ ‭What‬ ‭about‬ ‭money‬ ‭supply?‬ ‭In‬ ‭general,‬ ‭an‬ ‭economy’s‬ ‭money‬ ‭supply‬ ‭depends‬ ‭on‬ ‭the‬ ‭central‬ ‭bank‬ ‭or‬‭the‬‭Fed‬‭in‬‭the‬‭U.S.‬‭It‬‭is‬‭ultimately‬‭determined‬‭by‬ ‭the‬ ‭monetary‬ ‭base‬ ‭(currency‬ ‭in‬ ‭circulation‬ ‭and‬ ‭bank‬ ‭reserves)‬ ‭and‬ ‭the‬ ‭money‬ ‭multiplier‬ ‭.‬ ‭Since‬ ‭in‬ ‭most‬ ‭countries,‬ ‭the‬ ‭central‬ ‭bank‬ ‭determines‬ ‭the‬ ‭monetary‬ ‭base,‬ ‭we‬ ‭will‬ ‭consider‬ ‭the‬ ‭money‬ ‭supply‬ ‭(Ms)‬ ‭as‬ ‭fxed‬ ‭and‬ ‭independent‬ ‭of‬ ‭the‬ ‭interest‬ ‭rate‬ ‭.‬ ‭Note‬ ‭that‬ ‭this‬ ‭is‬ ‭not‬‭always‬‭the‬‭case‬‭in‬‭real‬‭life;‬‭however,‬‭we‬‭will‬‭follow‬‭this‬ ‭assumption for a simple introduction of the money market.‬

‭Since‬ ‭money‬ ‭supply‬ ‭is‬ ‭fxed,‬ ‭its‬ ‭curve‬ ‭is‬ ‭a‬ ‭vertical‬ ‭line‬ ‭that‬ ‭is‬ ‭neither‬ ‭downward‬ ‭nor‬ ‭upward‬ ‭sloping.‬ ‭This‬ ‭means‬ ‭that‬ ‭a‬ ‭change‬ ‭in‬ ‭the‬ ‭interest‬ ‭rate‬ ‭does‬ ‭not affect money supply.‬ ‭When‬ ‭the‬ ‭Fed‬ ‭decides‬ ‭to‬ ‭reduce‬ ‭money‬ ‭supply‬ ‭in‬ ‭what‬ ‭is‬ ‭known‬ ‭as‬ ‭a‬ ‭contractionary‬‭monetary‬‭policy,‬ ‭the‬ ‭Ms‬‭curve‬‭shifts‬‭to‬‭the‬‭left‬ ‭.‬‭In‬‭contrast,‬‭when‬‭the‬ ‭Fed‬ ‭increases‬‭money‬‭supply‬ ‭in‬‭what‬‭is‬‭known‬‭as‬‭an‬ ‭expansionary‬ ‭monetary‬ ‭policy,‬ ‭the‬ ‭Ms‬ ‭curve‬ ‭shifts‬ ‭to the right‬ ‭.‬

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