Macroeconomics

‭Factors‬‭that‬‭cause‬‭an‬‭increase‬‭or‬‭decrease‬‭in‬‭the‬‭demand‬‭for‬‭a‬‭currency,‬‭and‬‭consequently,‬‭a‬‭shift‬‭in‬‭its‬ ‭curve,‬‭primarily‬‭depend‬‭on‬‭other‬‭countries'‬‭willingness‬‭to‬‭buy‬‭goods,‬‭services,‬‭and‬‭fnancial‬‭assets‬‭from‬ ‭this‬‭country‬‭using‬‭its‬‭national‬‭currency.‬ ‭As‬‭we‬‭explain‬‭these‬‭factors,‬‭we‬‭will‬‭consistently‬‭use‬‭the‬‭demand‬ ‭for the U.S. dollar as an example.‬

‭●‬ ‭Foreign‬ ‭Demand‬ ‭for‬ ‭Domestic‬ ‭Goods‬ ‭and‬‭Services:‬ ‭When‬ ‭foreign‬ ‭households,‬ ‭frms,‬ ‭and‬ ‭governments‬ ‭wish‬‭to‬‭buy‬‭domestically-produced‬‭goods‬‭and‬‭services‬ ‭from‬ ‭a‬ ‭country‬ ‭(including‬ ‭tourism),‬ ‭they‬ ‭need‬ ‭to‬ ‭exchange‬ ‭their‬ ‭currency‬ ‭for‬ ‭the‬ ‭national‬ ‭currency‬ ‭of‬ ‭that‬ ‭country.‬ ‭Therefore,‬ ‭an‬ ‭increase‬ ‭in‬ ‭a‬ ‭country’s‬ ‭exports‬ ‭increases‬ ‭the‬ ‭demand‬ ‭for‬ ‭its‬ ‭currency‬ ‭and‬ ‭vice‬ ‭versa.‬ ‭For‬ ‭example,‬ ‭an‬ ‭increase‬ ‭in‬ ‭European‬ ‭demand‬ ‭for‬ ‭American‬ ‭smartphones‬ ‭increases‬ ‭the‬ ‭demand for the USD.‬

‭●‬ ‭Foreign‬ ‭Demand‬ ‭for‬ ‭Domestic‬ ‭Financial‬ ‭Assets:‬ ‭Similar‬ ‭to‬ ‭the‬ ‭foreign‬ ‭demand‬ ‭for‬‭domestic‬ ‭goods‬ ‭and‬ ‭services,‬ ‭changes‬ ‭in‬ ‭the‬ ‭demand‬‭for‬‭a‬‭country’s‬‭fnancial‬‭assets,‬‭such‬‭as‬‭American‬ ‭stocks‬‭and‬‭bonds,‬‭impact‬‭the‬‭demand‬‭for‬‭the‬‭domestic‬‭currency‬‭(e.g.,‬‭USD).‬ ‭As‬‭more‬‭American‬ ‭fnancial assets are demanded by Europeans, the demand for the USD increases, and vice versa.‬ ‭●‬ ‭Foreign‬ ‭Investments:‬ ‭When‬ ‭foreign‬ ‭frms‬ ‭and‬ ‭households‬‭invest‬‭in‬‭a‬‭country,‬‭it‬‭increases‬‭the‬ ‭demand for its currency, and vice versa.‬ ‭●‬ ‭Changes‬ ‭in‬ ‭Foreign‬ ‭Incomes:‬ ‭When‬ ‭foreigners'‬ ‭incomes‬ ‭increase,‬ ‭it‬ ‭enhances‬ ‭their‬ ‭ability‬‭to‬ ‭import‬‭from‬‭other‬‭countries.‬‭This,‬‭in‬‭turn,‬‭leads‬‭to‬‭an‬‭increased‬‭demand‬‭for‬‭a‬‭country’s‬‭exports,‬ ‭and‬‭consequently,‬‭an‬‭increase‬‭in‬‭the‬‭demand‬‭for‬‭its‬‭currency,‬‭and‬‭vice‬‭versa.‬ ‭For‬‭example,‬‭when‬ ‭the‬ ‭incomes‬ ‭of‬ ‭European‬ ‭workers‬ ‭increase,‬ ‭they‬ ‭might‬ ‭increase‬ ‭the‬ ‭demand‬ ‭for‬ ‭American‬ ‭products, causing an increase in the demand for USD.‬ ‭●‬ ‭Quality‬‭and‬‭Price‬‭of‬‭Domestic‬‭Products:‬ ‭Foreigners‬‭increase‬‭their‬‭demand‬‭for‬‭domestic‬‭goods‬ ‭and‬‭services,‬‭and‬‭thus,‬‭for‬‭the‬‭domestic‬‭currency,‬‭when‬‭the‬‭quality‬‭of‬‭the‬‭products‬‭is‬‭high,‬‭and‬ ‭the‬ ‭price‬ ‭level‬ ‭is‬ ‭relatively‬ ‭low.‬ ‭For‬ ‭instance,‬ ‭Europeans‬ ‭may‬ ‭prefer‬ ‭American‬ ‭cars‬ ‭when‬ ‭their‬ ‭quality is superior and their price is relatively lower than European cars.‬ ‭●‬ ‭Domestic‬ ‭Real‬ ‭Interest‬ ‭Rates:‬ ‭A‬ ‭higher‬ ‭real‬ ‭interest‬ ‭rate‬ ‭relative‬ ‭to‬ ‭other‬ ‭countries‬ ‭make‬ ‭a‬ ‭country’s‬ ‭fnancial‬ ‭assets‬ ‭more‬ ‭attractive‬ ‭(higher‬ ‭return‬ ‭on‬ ‭investment).‬ ‭Consequently,‬ ‭a‬‭high‬ ‭interest‬ ‭rate‬ ‭encourages‬ ‭foreigners‬ ‭to‬ ‭purchase‬ ‭domestic‬ ‭fnancial‬ ‭assets‬ ‭increasing‬ ‭the‬ ‭demand‬ ‭for‬ ‭the‬ ‭domestic‬ ‭currency,‬ ‭and‬‭vice‬‭versa.‬ ‭For‬‭example,‬‭when‬‭real‬‭interest‬‭rates‬‭in‬‭the‬ ‭U.S.‬ ‭are‬ ‭higher‬ ‭than‬ ‭in‬ ‭European‬ ‭countries,‬ ‭Europeans‬ ‭will‬ ‭prefer‬ ‭to‬ ‭invest‬ ‭in‬ ‭American‬ ‭assets‬ ‭hence increasing the demand for USD.‬ ‭●‬ ‭Speculation:‬ ‭When‬‭people‬‭expect‬‭a‬‭currency‬‭to‬‭appreciate‬‭(increase‬‭in‬‭value),‬‭they‬‭will‬‭demand‬ ‭more‬‭of‬‭it.‬‭Alternatively,‬‭when‬‭they‬‭expect‬‭it‬‭to‬‭depreciate‬‭(decrease‬‭in‬‭value),‬‭they‬‭will‬‭demand‬ ‭less of it.‬

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