Macroeconomics

‭Notable‬ ‭Changes‬‭in‬‭trade‬‭policies‬‭affect‬‭the‬‭demand‬‭for‬‭and‬‭supply‬‭of‬‭a‬‭currency,‬‭which‬‭influences‬‭equilibrium‬‭in‬ ‭the‬ ‭foreign‬ ‭exchange‬ ‭market.‬ ‭When‬ ‭trade‬ ‭restrictions‬ ‭are‬ ‭increased,‬ ‭such‬ ‭as‬ ‭increased‬ ‭tariffs‬ ‭on‬ ‭American‬ ‭imports‬ ‭and/or‬ ‭reduced‬ ‭import‬ ‭quotas‬ ‭from‬ ‭the‬ ‭U.S.,‬ ‭the‬ ‭demand‬ ‭for‬ ‭goods‬ ‭and‬ ‭services‬ ‭produced‬‭in‬‭the‬‭U.S.‬‭decreases,‬‭causing‬‭a‬‭decrease‬‭in‬‭the‬‭demand‬‭for‬‭the‬‭U.S.‬‭dollar,‬‭and‬‭vice‬‭versa.‬‭As‬ ‭a‬‭result,‬‭the‬‭exchange‬‭rate‬‭for‬‭the‬‭U.S.‬‭dollar‬‭may‬‭decrease‬‭(depreciate),‬‭and‬‭the‬‭equilibrium‬‭quantity‬‭of‬

‭U.S. dollars in the foreign exchange market may also be affected.‬ ‭H. Exchange Rate Efects on the Economy‬

‭Whenever‬‭the‬‭exchange‬‭rate‬‭changes,‬‭net‬‭exports‬‭(exports‬‭−‬‭imports)‬‭change‬‭too‬‭because‬‭the‬‭value‬‭of‬ ‭imports‬ ‭and‬ ‭exports‬ ‭is‬‭affected.‬‭A‬‭change‬‭in‬‭net‬‭exports‬‭has‬‭implications‬‭on‬‭the‬‭balance‬‭of‬‭payments,‬ ‭aggregate demand, and the level of output.‬ ‭Exchange Rate and the Balance of Payments‬ ‭When‬ ‭a‬ ‭currency‬ ‭appreciates,‬ ‭imports‬ ‭increase‬ ‭as‬ ‭foreign‬ ‭currencies—and,‬ ‭consequently,‬ ‭goods‬ ‭and‬ ‭services—become‬ ‭cheaper.‬ ‭Since‬ ‭both‬‭imports‬‭and‬‭exports‬‭are‬‭recorded‬‭on‬‭the‬‭current‬‭account‬‭of‬‭the‬ ‭balance‬ ‭of‬ ‭payments,‬ ‭an‬ ‭increase‬ ‭in‬ ‭imports‬ ‭beyond‬ ‭the‬ ‭value‬ ‭of‬‭exports‬‭results‬‭in‬‭a‬‭current‬‭account‬ ‭defcit.‬‭This‬‭signifes‬‭that‬‭the‬‭country‬‭is‬‭paying‬‭more‬‭to‬‭foreign‬‭countries‬‭than‬‭it‬‭is‬‭receiving‬‭from‬‭them.‬ ‭Conversely,‬‭when‬‭a‬‭currency‬‭depreciates,‬‭it‬‭leads‬‭to‬‭a‬‭current‬‭account‬‭surplus,‬‭as‬‭domestic‬‭goods‬‭and‬ ‭services become cheaper for foreigners.‬ ‭Exchange Rate, Aggregate Demand, and the Level of Output‬ ‭Net‬‭exports‬‭(X‬‭−‬‭M)‬‭constitute‬‭a‬‭component‬‭of‬‭aggregate‬‭demand‬‭in‬‭an‬‭open‬‭economy‬‭(C‬‭+‬‭I‬‭+‬‭G‬‭+‬‭[X‬‭−‬ ‭M]).‬ ‭Thus,‬ ‭a‬ ‭currency‬ ‭appreciation‬ ‭or‬ ‭depreciation‬ ‭affecting‬ ‭net‬ ‭exports‬ ‭will‬ ‭cause‬ ‭a‬ ‭change‬ ‭in‬ ‭the‬ ‭aggregate demand level.‬ ‭A‬ ‭currency‬ ‭depreciation‬ ‭contributing‬ ‭to‬ ‭a‬ ‭trade‬ ‭surplus‬ ‭(exports‬ ‭>‬ ‭imports)‬ ‭stimulates‬ ‭the‬ ‭economy,‬ ‭involving‬ ‭an‬ ‭increase‬ ‭in‬ ‭aggregate‬ ‭demand.‬ ‭Higher‬ ‭aggregate‬ ‭demand,‬ ‭in‬ ‭turn,‬ ‭boosts‬ ‭output‬ ‭and‬ ‭employment‬ ‭levels.‬ ‭Conversely,‬ ‭a‬ ‭currency‬ ‭appreciation‬ ‭contributing‬ ‭to‬ ‭a‬ ‭trade‬ ‭defcit‬ ‭(imports‬ ‭>‬ ‭exports)‬‭reduces‬‭net‬‭exports‬‭and,‬‭consequently,‬‭aggregate‬‭demand.‬‭This‬‭decrease‬‭in‬‭aggregate‬‭demand‬ ‭results in a lower output level and increased unemployment.‬ ‭I. Exchange Rate Policies‬ ‭Monetary Policy‬

‭Central‬ ‭banks‬ ‭implement‬ ‭monetary‬ ‭policies‬‭to‬‭impact‬‭economic‬‭outcomes‬‭by‬ ‭influencing‬ ‭money‬‭supply‬‭and‬‭interest‬‭rates.‬‭The‬‭resulting‬‭change‬‭in‬‭the‬‭price‬ ‭level and net exports impacts the exchange rate.‬

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